過(guò)去幾天，比特幣（BTC）一直橫盤(pán)整理，顯示多頭和空頭之間正在展開(kāi)一場(chǎng)艱苦的戰(zhàn)鬥。 賣(mài)方會(huì)壓倒買(mǎi)方並開(kāi)始短期調(diào)整，還是買(mǎi)方會(huì)脫穎而出？ 這是每個(gè)加密貨幣投資者心中的問(wèn)題。
聯(lián)準(zhǔn)會(huì)提前降息的希望逐漸減弱，導(dǎo)致標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾 500 指數(shù)獲利回吐。 這可能預(yù)示著近期的避險(xiǎn)情緒，增加了比特幣和部分山寨幣回檔的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。
每日加密貨幣市場(chǎng)表現(xiàn)。 來(lái)源： Coin360
然而，下跌可能不會(huì)改變長(zhǎng)期看漲觀點(diǎn)。 投資者可能將每次下跌視為買(mǎi)入機(jī)會(huì)，因?yàn)楸忍貛偶磳⒃谒脑聹p半，這在歷史上一直是看漲事件。
可能阻止比特幣和山寨幣下跌的重要支撐位是什麼？ 讓我們分析一下前 10 名加密貨幣的圖表來(lái)找出答案。
比特幣價(jià)格分析
比特幣正在努力維持在 52,000 美元上方，表明空頭正在激烈捍衛(wèi)該水平。
BTC/USDT 日線(xiàn)圖。 來(lái)源： TradingView
如果價(jià)格跌破 50,000 美元，短線(xiàn)交易者可能會(huì)放棄並獲利了結(jié)。 這可能會(huì)將 BTC/USDT 貨幣對(duì)拉至 20 天指數(shù)移動(dòng)平均線(xiàn)（48,842 美元）。
如果價(jià)格從 20 日均線(xiàn)強(qiáng)力反彈，則表示市場(chǎng)情緒依然樂(lè)觀，交易者正在較低水平買(mǎi)入。 這將增加反彈至 52,000 美元上方的可能性。 隨後該貨幣對(duì)可能會(huì)躍升至 6 萬(wàn)美元。
相反，如果價(jià)格繼續(xù)走低並跌破 20 日均線(xiàn)，則將標(biāo)誌著開(kāi)始回調(diào)至 50 日簡(jiǎn)單移動(dòng)平均線(xiàn)（44,924 美元）。
以太幣價(jià)格分析
2月21日，以太坊（ETH）從3000美元的心理阻力位回落，顯示短線(xiàn)交易者獲利了結(jié)。
ETH/USDT 日線(xiàn)圖。 來(lái)源： TradingView
在強(qiáng)勁的上升趨勢(shì)中，修正通常會(huì)持續(xù)一到三天。 下行的關(guān)鍵支撐位是 2,717 美元。 如果價(jià)格從 2,717 美元強(qiáng)力反彈，則表示每次小幅下跌都被積極買(mǎi)入。 這將增強(qiáng)其突破 3,000 美元的前景。 隨後 ETH/USDT 貨幣對(duì)可能會(huì)上漲至 3,300 美元。
相反，如果空頭將價(jià)格拉低至 20 日均線(xiàn)（2,680 美元）下方，則將預(yù)示著 50 日均線(xiàn)（2,467 美元）將開(kāi)始進(jìn)一步修正。
BNB價(jià)格分析
幣安幣（BNB）經(jīng)過(guò)短暫調(diào)整後回升，並於 2 月 21 日飆升至 367 美元阻力位上方，標(biāo)誌著上升趨勢(shì)的恢復(fù)。
BNB/USDT 日線(xiàn)圖。 來(lái)源： TradingView
The upsloping moving averages and the RSI in the overbought zone indicate that the bulls are in command. If buyers maintain the price above $368, the BNB/USDT pair could pick up momentum and surge toward $400.
The first support on the downside is at the 20-day EMA ($336) and the next is the 50-day SMA ($315). The bears will have to yank the price below the 50-day SMA to indicate a trend change.
Solana price analysis
Solana’s (SOL) rebound fizzled out at $115, and the price turned down on Feb. 19, indicating a lack of demand at higher levels.
SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bears pulled the price below the neckline of the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern on Feb. 21, signaling that the bullish momentum has weakened. The 50-day SMA may act as a support, but it may not hold for long. If the support cracks, the SOL/USDT pair could start a decline to $93, which is an important level to keep an eye on.
The first sign of strength will be a rise above the downtrend line. The pair could then attempt a rally to the overhead resistance of $126.
XRP price analysis
XRP (XRP) closed above the downtrend line on Feb. 19, but the bulls could not clear the hurdle at $0.57. This suggests that every minor relief rally is being sold into.
XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bears are trying to pull the price below the moving averages. If they succeed, the XRP/USDT pair could dip toward the strong support at $0.46. Buyers are expected to defend this level with vigor.
If the price rebounds off $0.46, the pair could climb to $0.57 and stay inside this range for some time. A break and close above $0.57 will suggest that the corrective phase may be over. The pair could then attempt a rally to $0.67.
Cardano price analysis
Cardano (ADA) turned down from $0.64 on Feb. 20, suggesting profit booking by the short-term traders. The price could reach the 20-day EMA ($0.57).
ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
Buyers will have to defend the 20-day EMA aggressively if they want to keep the up move intact. If they do that, the ADA/USDT pair could rise to $0.64 and eventually to $0.68. A break and close above this resistance will signal the start of the next leg of the uptrend.
On the contrary, if the price tumbles below the 20-day EMA, it will indicate that the bullish momentum has weakened. The pair may then consolidate inside a large range between $0.46 and $0.64 for a while.
Avalanche price analysis
The bulls defended the 50-day SMA ($36) on Feb. 20, but the bears sold the recovery to the 20-day EMA ($38.22) in Avalanche (AVAX).
AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The 20-day EMA has flattened out, and the RSI is just below the midpoint, indicating a range-bound action in the near term. If the price breaks below the 50-day SMA, the AVAX/USDT pair may drop to $32, which is likely to act as a strong support. A solid rebound off the support could keep the pair between $32 and $42 for a few days.
On the upside, the bulls will have to drive and sustain the pair above $42 to complete the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern and gain the upper hand.
Related: Michael Saylor to forever buy Bitcoin — ‘No reason to sell the winner’
Dogecoin price analysis
Dogecoin (DOGE) bounced off the 20-day EMA ($0.08) on Feb. 18, but the bulls could not overcome the barrier at $0.09. This suggests a negative sentiment where the bears are selling on rallies.
DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
If the price skids below the moving averages, the DOT/USDT pair could drop to the uptrend line. This is an essential level for the bulls to defend because if they fail to do that, the pair may start a descent to $0.07.
This negative view will be invalidated in the short term if the price rebounds off the current level and rises above $0.09. That opens the doors for a possible rally to the $0.10 to $0.11 resistance zone.
Chainlink price analysis
Chainlink (LINK) bounced off the 20-day EMA ($18.81) on Feb. 20, but the bulls could not build upon the recovery. The price turned down and slipped below the 20-day EMA on Feb. 21.
LINK/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The next stop on the downside is the breakout level of $17.32. This level may witness a tough battle between the bulls and the bears. If the price rebounds off $17.32 with strength, the LINK/USDT pair may rise to the 20-day EMA and later to the overhead resistance at $20.85.
The zone between $17.32 and the 50-day SMA ($16.51) is likely to act as a formidable support on the downside. A break below this zone will suggest a potential trend change in the near term.
Polkadot price analysis
Polkadot’s (DOT) recovery stalled near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $8.21, indicating that bears continue to sell on rallies.
DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The DOT/USDT pair has reached the 50-day SMA ($7.18), which is an important level to watch out for. If this level gives way, it will suggest that the bulls are losing their grip. The pair could then drop to the neckline and subsequently to $6.
The flattening 20-day EMA and the RSI near the midpoint suggest a range-bound action in the near term. If the price rebounds off the neckline, the pair could reach $8.21 and stay range-bound between these two levels for some time. The bulls will be back in the game on a close above $8.21.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
